Loans vary by stage of real estate project
Commercial real estate loans also vary by different stages of a property project, with each one having its own unique characteristics, risks and expected returns. Early-stage loans, such as construction loans, tend to have higher risk/return profiles than late-stage loans, such as residual stock loans. That said, the risk profile of each type of loan depends on various factors, such as the specifics of the loan, position in the capital structure, borrower strength, market conditions, and loan-to-value ratio (LVR).
Bridge loans
Bridge loans provide a borrower with temporary financing until a long-term funding source can be secured and are typically short-term (6-12 months). These loans may be utilised as investment loans to refinance cash flowing properties, or between development phases of the underlying property. During the term of bridge loans, construction is not intended. Bridge loans carry the lowest risk profile of all real estate debt but provide the lowest return.
Construction loans
Construction loans are used to fund residential and commercial building projects, typically lasting 12-30 months. Construction loans include loans to build dwellings but also include land development loans which involve site preparation, infrastructure installation which is aimed at dividing bigger blocks of land into smaller parcels. Throughout the term of the construction loan, there is an underlying uplift in capital value of the property because capital works are being completed on the site which provides a benefit to the investor. Despite this, construction loans carry higher returns due to the increased project risks, such as project delays and cost overruns which may result in a deterioration in project feasibility.
Residual stock loans
Loans secured by unsold, completed properties (0-12 months). These loans typically offer lower returns at face value compared to construction loans due to the reduced risk associated with completed properties (i.e. saleable product). However, residual stock loans carry risks related to the volatility of the underlying asset (i.e. market risks). While returns at face value are lower than construction loans, the investors internal rate of return (IRR) is elevated as residual stock loans typically include provisions for the settlement of the completed properties which pays investors back early to redeploy on other investments.
Key investment considerations
When evaluating different types of loans in commercial real estate (CRE) debt funds, investors must consider a range of factors to effectively assess the risks and potential returns. This includes broad factors, which focus on market and economic conditions, and specific factors, which focus on the specific characteristics of an individual loan.
Broad factors
Interest rates
Rising or falling interest rates can play a significant role in the performance of real estate debt investments as they influence both the value of the underlying assets and the creditworthiness of borrowers.
Inflation trends
Inflation can impact both asset values and the cost of construction materials.
Supply and demand
Imbalances between supply and demand can impact asset prices and the ability to sell properties. If demand outpaces supply, loan repayment becomes easier, however, in an oversupplied market the risk of unsold assets increases.
Regulatory environment
Obtaining building permits or changes to zoning can delay or prevent projects from moving forward. Uncertainty around the approval of development projects is an especially critical risk factor for loans in the early stages of the project (e.g. construction loans).
Specific factors
Loan-to-value ratio (LVR)
The LVR measures the loan amount relative to the appraised value of the asset. A lower LVR indicates that the borrower has more equity in the property, which offers a cushion for investors if the property value declines.
Borrower creditworthiness
The financial health and track record of the borrower are critical in evaluating the risk associated with a loan.
Loan terms
The terms of the loan itself, such as interest rate, duration and covenants, also influence the risk and return. For example, shorter duration loans carry less exposure to market fluctuations, while longer duration loans are more vulnerable to changes in interest rates, property values and market conditions.
Exit strategies
The exit strategy refers to how the lender expects to be repaid at the end of the loan term and it impacts both the timing and certainty of repayment.
Key takeaways
Real estate debt funds can provide investors with attractive levels of income and capital protection where underlying loans are secured and/or prioritise repayment over equity in case of default.
However, given different types of loans have varying risk and return profiles, investors should assess the risk/return profile of real estate debt funds before making investment decisions. Diversifying across different types of loans can help investors reduce the overall volatility and risk in their portfolios. This can be achieved by investing in a mix of real estate debt funds, ensuring a blend of higher-risk loan types with more stable, lower-risk options.
An experienced management team, who actively oversees and manages the loan throughout its entire life cycle, helps ensure optimal performance and risk mitigation. By using their skills and capabilities to assess market trends, economic conditions and asset performance, a skilled manager can help maximise returns and mitigate risk.
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