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Despite FY24 being challenged by high inflation, high interest rates and ongoing geopolitical tensions, global equity markets experienced impressive gains.
The 2024 financial year was marked by persistently high inflation and interest rates, coupled with ongoing geopolitical tensions. Despite these challenges, global equity markets experienced impressive gains. US shares rose by 24.2%1, largely driven by technology companies and the surge in AI. Global shares increased by 19.9%2, while Australian shares saw a 11.9%3 rise. In contrast, Australian government bonds returned 3.3%4.
Looking to the year ahead, our current view is that returns are expected to be more constrained and volatile due to lower valuations, overbought conditions, and heightened geopolitical risks. Nevertheless, we think that markets are likely to continue rising as disinflation progresses globally and more central banks including the Federal Reserve cut interest rates. In Australia, we think that there is the potential for another interest rate rise before a cut and should this occur, this may keep the Australian share market relatively lower compared to its global peers.
Investment performance table as at 30 June 2024